Transcript
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There are many issues that are important in the upcoming election.
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One of them is economic policy.
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Now, for most of us, that makes our eyes glaze over.
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But I want you to listen to the Strang Report today because my guest is one of the smartest
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guys I know.
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His name is Mark Nuttall.
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He's from Oklahoma.
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He's an attorney.
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In fact, right after he got out of law school, he was an advisor to senators and congressmen
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in Washington back in the 70s.
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Over the years, he's worked with Milton Freeman, who is a respected economist.
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George H.W. Bush actually sent him to China to represent the United States government
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as they were establishing their stock exchange.
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He worked in the Ukraine to help them get established after the fall of communism.
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He represented Boris Yeltsin in Russia.
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His resume is too long for me to even go into.
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I've known him since 2008.
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We both were supporters back then of Governor Mike Huckabee.
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We've continued a friendship.
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And recently, I found out that he's starting a website and he is speaking up about these
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issues and I invited him to be on the Strang Report because I feel that it's important
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that we deal with some of these issues and that you get to know some of the people that
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I've had the opportunity to get to know and trust.
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So I think you'll find my interview with Mark Nuttall very interesting.
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Stay tuned today to the Strang Report.
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I'm Stephen Strang.
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Welcome back and welcome to you, Mark Nuttall.
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Thank you for fitting in this podcast.
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You're one of the smartest guys I know when it comes to economics and government and of
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course with the election coming up, one of the important things is when we elect a president,
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that determines a lot of the direction of our country in terms of economic policy.
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And of course, economic policy affects all of us.
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It affects the economy, inflation, employment, but most Americans don't know about economic
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policy.
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So what do you think are the issues that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump needs to be facing
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and what do you think is going to happen after the election?
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Are we going to have a downturn?
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Well, Steve, it's great to be with you as always and thanks for having me.
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There is a pending economic storm that I, as I describe it, that isn't being addressed
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by any politician because it's not comfortable for them to do it.
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And neither presidential candidate seems to have, or appears to not have a solution or
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a platform to address it.
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It's called the national debt and ongoing deficits.
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We are now at well over 100% debt to GDP.
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We are somewhere around, I just pulled some recent numbers.
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Yeah, we're about...
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Okay, so let me interrupt you long enough to ask so that my viewers understand.
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So I understand when you say debt to GDP, that's gross domestic product.
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Gross domestic products, the measure of all goods and services produced by the United
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States.
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So if a person was going to have maybe 50,000 or let's say 100,000 a year in salary, that'd
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be like their debt would be 100,000, am I understanding that right?
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Well, yes, they could have assets.
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But let's say, basically it's this, if someone's making $100,000 a year, they're spending $125,000.
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Actually, they're spending, I'm sorry, $225,000.
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They're spending 100% plus additional debt that they're accumulating on and they have
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debt that is greater than their income.
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So a better way to look at it is that you borrow $1,000 and you are spending, deficit
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spending $1,000 plus the interest and you go back and try to borrow the interest.
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The bank won't let you do that because you can accumulate the debt to the point your
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debt gets greater than all of your assets.
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It's not just your income, it is all of your assets.
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So it would be like you're making $100,000, you've got $100,000 in debt and you're spending
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$100,000 over your income.
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So the average person couldn't keep that up indefinitely.
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I mean, you have a few credit cards and you might have a rich relative, but you can't
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keep it up indefinitely and neither can the government.
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No bank would allow you to borrow interest on your debt and accumulate further debt on
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the loan.
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Any average person, average citizen knows that.
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Your credit cards have a limit, your bank loans have a limit, and it's based upon your
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income and your ability to pay it back over a period of time.
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You can't continue to go further and further in debt and borrow the interest on your debt
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at the same time.
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So let's talk about how that affects America.
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We don't have a lot of time and I want to find out and give my viewers an opportunity
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to get to know you and your vast experience, especially with China and the Ukraine, because
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most of us never have an opportunity to talk or listen to an expert like you.
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So get back to finish the previous thing we were talking about, what's going to happen
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after the election with a downturn, which is what I understood you to say, and also
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what should be the things that we're looking for with this election coming up?
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Well, quickly, let me summarize this, Steve.
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It's what I call a catch-22.
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A catch-22 is where for a country that you can't have economic growth without cost of
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capital, in other words, interest on your money, you have to pay for your investment.
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And at the same time, you can't afford a higher interest rate because your debt is so high.
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In other words, right now, the United States government owes about $35 trillion on a GDP
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of around $27 trillion.
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So we're somewhere around 125% debt, cash flow debt, to our gross domestic product.
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That's how a nation state measures its wealth.
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And as interest rates rise, we just passed a point this year where the government now
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is paying $1.2 trillion in interest on the debt and it's climbing.
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And so if you borrow interest and it adds to your debt, your interest rate, the amount
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of money you're paying on the interest continues to get bigger and bigger and bigger until
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it turns your ship upside down.
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And that's where we are.
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So we can't afford growth because growth means there's a cost and your economy grows and
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a healthy interest rate somewhere between 4% and 5%.
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And we can't afford that as our debt gets bigger and bigger as we're borrowing the interest.
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And it's at a point now where the United States is borrowing about $1 trillion every 88 days.
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So we're now approaching a deficit of $4 trillion.
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So deficit is about 2.3, 2.5.
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But still, that would be, putting it in individual terms, you're spending more money than you
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make, adding it to your debt and your cost of your debt goes up.
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There's a point, it's just mathematical equation.
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It's not the Republican, Democratic, conservative or liberal.
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It's just the way it is.
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And the answer is to balance the budget.
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That's why no one wants to talk about it.
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No one wants to tell 40% of the American public that some services need to be restricted to
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get this back in balance.
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Here's the problem, Steve.
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Again, as economists know, it's mathematical.
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The budget will be balanced one way or another.
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You'll either do it practically, prudently, work with the American people and what that
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policy is, or the debt will increase to the point that you can't afford it, you go bankrupt
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and it will balance itself.
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Now, the good news is the United States is still the strongest country in the world.
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I want your listeners to know that.
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But the whole world is in this problem.
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This is why it's becoming a catch-22.
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There's about $114 trillion in GDP in the world and the world owes about $120 trillion
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in debt.
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Every country in the world is in a debt of over 100% of its GDP, except possibly for
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Switzerland.
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And we are the world's currency.
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And so when we borrow money like we are and we just put it into the system, it's inflationary
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against other countries, and not to get into currency management and how that impacts other
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countries.
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We are coming to a point within the next 18 months that countries will not be able to
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afford to loan us the money.
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Individuals won't be able to afford to loan us the money.
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And we're not going to be able to afford higher interest rates to get the money to pay down
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the debt.
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And when that happens, it's called a reset.
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A world reset will occur in the world's banking system.
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And it's unavoidable because we're at points now that are so far above any model that the
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world has ever seen since World War II that something has to be done, not just here, but
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worldwide.
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And it will.
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It will occur.
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Okay, now what's the likely outcome?
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The likely outcome is that if we don't handle this and get in front of it, then critical
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government services, even Social Security and other things, will have to be managed
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in extent and rationed.
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And we don't want to get to that point.
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So the only outcomes are one, you nationalize the banks, you ration currency like a socialist
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government or even worse, a communist government.
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And there are progressives inside the Democratic Party talking about that.
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However, you let it go and let the system cure itself, particularly at the local level.
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This is what I want to encourage people to think about in this election cycle.
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One of the uniqueness or unique economic advantages of the United States that doesn't occur to
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this extent anywhere else in the world is local authority over finances.
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So let me give you an example.
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We just take this for granted, but most states, most cities want to build a high school.
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You don't go to the federal government to get the money or the permission.
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You don't even go to the state.
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You go to a local school board.
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They design the particulars for the new high school based upon their entire educational
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system.
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The superintendents of the school systems are involved to the point you issue a bond
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issue, a school bond issue.
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It's usually an avalarum tax, and you finance it yourself.
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The local community votes school district by school district when they want a new high
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school.
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The same for hospitals, same for roads and infrastructure at the local level.
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Every other country, can you imagine in Orlando that you wanted to add a high school because
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your population is growing and you need it to keep the classroom sizes in check and to
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provide a quality education, but you had to go to the federal government and lobby them
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for the money and they were trying to decide whether Louisville, Kentucky or Spokane, Washington
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or somebody else got the next high school.
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Can you imagine what the gridlock would be in the educational system?
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Well, that's the way it is in a lot of places around the world, including G7 countries.
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Because we have that local authority, we need to maximize leverage it, take control of these
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finances ourselves at the local level and make sure that the next government doesn't
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infringe upon that local authority because to nationalize the banks or to take control
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of capital and ration it as some one standard fits all and the federal government decides
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where the money goes will not allow us to get ahead of the debt problem to the point
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that we will become a socialistic government because then that ration of goods and services
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will extend to everything.
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Well, I've had the privilege of knowing you for a number of years and I'm always impressed
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when you talk about how you've worked with governments all over the world and just preparing
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for this podcast, you sent me all this material to read.
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But I understand that you're setting up a website that people can go to to educate themselves
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to find out more about some of the things you're talking about because it would take
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us hours.
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It would be a college course or more to delve into all of this and to glean the information
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that you've gained.
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So tell us about your website and then before we wrap up this short podcast, tell us at
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least one or two anecdotes about working in Ukraine and China because I think people would
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find that interesting.
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Okay.
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Well, the website is called ntrustnetwork.com and then trust is two words.
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It is a website is free.
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It has information and news.
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It discusses the Catch-22, some of the other things that we've talked about here today.
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It talks about a reset.
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What is it?
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Why it's inevitable?
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What are the possible outcomes and what should you do about it?
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And what can you do?
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Join with other leaders in your city, primarily through your churches, determine how you're
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going to manage the resources of critical needs based upon this reset that's coming
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in, but that will require the federal government to balance its budget.
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I believe that turning to yourself, those states that do that will lead those states
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that don't into a new system that the United States to them will lead the rest of the world.
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Now, how do you do it?
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Go there.
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You can either be a son of as an individual, a church, an elected official, a law enforcement,
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and most importantly, a small business, family-owned businesses.
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There are 10 million Christian family-owned businesses in the United States.
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There are another 10 million family businesses and then 10 million corporate small businesses.
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30 million small businesses is what the IRS tells us is the number.
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That's what COVID relief funds were based upon.
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It is unique to the world.
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Small business, Steve, employs 50% of the non-farmers workforce in the United States
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and produces half of the gross domestic product.
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What is a small business?
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25 employees or less.
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But the interesting thing is that the central core employee base of most businesses, at
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least 20 million of them, are families and related individuals.
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Nowhere else in the world does that exist at that level, that percent of small business.
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Go there.
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Sign up.
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There'll be discussion platforms, ongoing information.
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Hopefully we'll get it down to a point that the communication is easy to understand.
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We'll get your feedback.
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We'll start talking to each other over the next months because this is coming after the
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election.
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It will face, and by the way, it's just not me saying this.
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Jerome Powell said it in March.
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Jamie Dimon, Chairman of the Board of the Largest Bank in the United States is saying
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it.
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The Director of the Congressional Budget Office, all saying the deficits must be addressed
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because the point of the debt is getting to the point of what I described as a catch-22.
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We can't have growth because we can't afford the debt.
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If we don't have growth, then the debt will grow through services of the deficit spending
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it.
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The deficits have to be addressed.
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Okay.
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Unfortunately, in this election, we're not hearing a lot about this in the debates or
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in the interviews or even in the Trump rallies.
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But basically, the Democrats, of course, headed by Kamala Harris, are going to be going toward
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more and more big government, more and more socialism, more and more control.
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Trump, even though he's really not an economist himself, he's going to let the economy be
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more free.
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And of course, he's a businessman, a very successful businessman, so he sort of gets
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it.
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Am I summarizing it correctly?
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Yes, you are.
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And considering this election cycle, it's my opinion that Donald Trump, he may not have
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a program for it, but he'll let it go.
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I mean, he'll let the banks restructure the way they see fit.
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He'll let first cities decide how they want to restructure and then states.
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And that's most important.
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Let's just cut to the chase.
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Red states will turn to themselves.
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Blue states will turn to the federal government.
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And when blue states turn to the federal government for answers, they won't be there.
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I don't think the government will balance this budget without going kicking and screaming.
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And when it does, it will turn to the red states for answers.
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How did you do that?
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And then we'll turn back to a free enterprise, free choice economic system.
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That's what made this country great.
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It's the idea that local authority or finances deciding for yourselves what kind of a city
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you want, what services you'll provide, and the critical services of education, health
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care, transportation, sporting events, other things are done through bond issues at the
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local level.
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And that's the way it should be.
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If we can get back to that, then we can lead the rest of the world into that same system.
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But Donald Trump will just turn it loose.
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And then what I'm saying is that the unique structure of the United States will take care
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of itself.
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And what I mean by structure, there's this ability for banks to restructure, cities to
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restructure as they see fit through local authority.
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The progressives, and I'll just go ahead and use the word.
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I don't want to be too critical here.
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But Elizabeth Warren is one of the economic advisors of the Democratic Party.
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And she has said she wants fewer banks.
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She wants to roll up community banks into regional banks because they're easier to manage,
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which takes away the choices of the local community.
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Those who want to nationalize the banking system do not understand how small businesses
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are financed and how family businesses, which are the backbone of the United States, are
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structured economically.
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Yet they say, well, it's, you know, collateral damage, if you will.
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May Hiller-Crenton actually said that once.
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I don't know about those exact words, I'm paraphrasing, but she said she couldn't be
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held accountable for all undercapitalized small businesses.
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Well, good grief, Steve.
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We could talk for a lot of time, a lot more time, and we're basically out of time.
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But I hope that you've piqued people's interest.
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These are very important.
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They can go to your website.
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We'll put it in the notes.
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Find out more about, you've written several books, and I think people need to realize
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that there are some big issues beyond the talking points that you get on cable news.
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And I thank you for sharing your thoughts with us today.
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I'll come back with a few comments at the end and encourage people to get more involved.
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But let me just say that people need to vote.
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There are big issues, and we need to get the right people into power.
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And while there's personalities involved in everything else, basically, we need conservative
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people who will balance the budget.
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And one of the things that I found interesting in this election campaign is how Elon Musk,
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the richest man in the world, has come out so strong for Trump.
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And Trump is apparently going to help him, or he says he's going to make some kind of
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task force for government efficiency, which is going to go a long way to balancing the
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budget.
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And I'll give you the last word.
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Well, at least making everybody aware that you can't print and borrow forever.
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Just think about that.
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It is inevitable that sooner or later, if you believed that you could print and borrow
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forever, then you don't need God, because you can print and just get government, but
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just be, what do you want today?
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Here's your money, as long as it was for a legal reason.
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It doesn't work that way.
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It's accountable to your own efforts and talents in a diverse community.
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We know that.
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And so the task force is one thing, electing officials with the will to course correct
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is another.
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Take time to share this podcast with others.
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Put it on social media.
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I believe that there are people who will benefit from what Mark Nuttall has to say about his
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new website called InTrust Network.
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Thank you for watching today and be sure to tune in again for another edition of the Strang
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Report.
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And if you haven't already done it, be sure to hit the subscribe button and the little
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bell to let you know when we're on live.
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Thank you for watching.
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God bless you.